Earth-System Forecastability Analysis

Paper 302 of 383
Published June 1, 2026

Not every geological process is equally predictable.

Some systems evolve rapidly.

Some systems remain stable for extraordinary periods.

Forecastability may therefore vary according to the persistence of the underlying constraints.

This paper evaluates forecastability through recurrence, survivorship, continuity, inheritance, and long-duration structural participation.


Forecastability Indicators


Forecastability Principle

Prediction improves when the underlying constraints remain stable.

Forecastability may therefore be measured through persistence itself.

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